Takers, takers, takers

 It's hard to believe I wrote this post more than ten years ago. 

Twelve million new takers on the books

I took a look at St. Louis Fed data today, both the civilian employment to population ratio and the working age civilian population.  I then combined the data into a chart of deltas with their initial values pegged to Dec-2007.  The result is the following:

What does this chart mean?  It means that whilethere are about 2.5 million fewer people employed than in 2007, but that we've also got 12.5 million more people of working age - that is, 15 million more unemployed today than we did five and a half years ago.  This is due to an increasing population that has completely given up trying to find work.  It means, that though the recession destroyed something like eight million jobs and the post recession has created around five million jobs, we've added more than twelve million non-working civilians in the same time. 

That's staggering - utterly and completely staggering.  That means - follow me here - that means that not a single working age person added to our population since 2007 is working.  We've added twelve million takers but not one new producer.  Not one.

 

I thought I might update it after ten years to see how things are going, but that would be rather boring. Sure, I could show that we've added 22 million people to the civilian noninstitutional population and only 13 million to the labor force,  (+8 million takers), but that would just be rehashing old thoughts.

Instead, I tried to find data on age groups. As it turns out, right now there are about 23.3 million Americans older than 75, 33.1 million between 65 and 74, and 211.4 million of "working age," between 15 and 64. 

This is more interesting, because we can find out how many out of these age groups are working. A quick search reveals that 7.3% of those over the age of 75, and 26% of those between the ages of 65 and 74 are working. That comes out to 1.7 and 8.6 million, respectively. Now BLS also says that the civilian labor force (those working) in the US is 168.2 million. Thus, simple math tells us that the numer of people working who are between 15 and 64 is 157.9 million.

We know that the number of working aged people is 211.4 million, so if only 157.9 million of them are working, that means 25.3% of working aged Americans are not doing so - either they have retired or just quit the workforce. These are most likely the real takers, as everyone over 65 is of retirement age and has "earned the right" to retire.

Of course I don't despise anyone who manages to retire early, that is great for them. However those who are just sitting on their asses playing video games and collecting welfare are truly despicable. They likely come from this last group, numbering 53.5 million people. That is more than half of the people not in the labor force. Again, these people are not unemployed, they are not in the labor force at all.

The data reveals that we have 53.5 million people who are of working age (15-64) who have opted out of working. These are the real takers.

 

Some victories

 

Harsh, but true. CNN Edition

 

Sooth: The whole aim of practical politics

 

On covid performance

There are really only two important things to look at with regards to disease - prevention and mitigation. In other words, how well did our system and response prevent the spread of the disease, and for those infected, how well did our system keep them alive.

The US is made up of 50 states and various territories, and as we have with our state laws, we had various responses to the pandemic. Using data from Worldometer, we can perform this basic analysis and see how well each state did in each area. Perhaps in doing so, we can then review the approaches of the different states and find out what worked, and what didn't, and make some more cohesive country-wide plans to be implemented in any future situations.

Simple math shows that just 6 states had death rates above 5%, and those 6 states account for a massive 34.09% of the total deaths - 71,048 deaths. Those states are Connecticut, New Jersey, Massachusetts, New York, New Hampshire, and Michigan.

We should study their actions carefully, as they are surely a blueprint of what not to do during a pandemic.

On judges and the electorate

 Just a few words.

When voters elect the president and the senate, they are sending a message to both. If the senate majority is of a different party than the president, the message is "stop what you're doing, you're effing things up." 

If, however, the senate majority is of the same party as the president, the message is "full steam ahead."

The voters elected them, and expect them to carry out the work embodied in one of those two messages, for the entire term of office. There aren't any partial terms, not without a recall, so sorry, not sorry. Everyone knows the democrats would do exactly the same thing.

Frog in the pot

How many articles are we going to have to read about ordinary Americans being harassed or assaulted? How many police will blm and antifa try to kill? 

 

When is the government going to acknowledge that antifa and blm are a joint marxist domestic terrorist organization, and that they've already begun an insurrection against the United States?

Will enough of us acknowledge it before the slow boil dooms us all?

Nineteen years later

 Still hurts.

On Moving to Texas

Now hear this - if you want to move to Texas, you will be welcomed, but take note of Portland and Seattle. It was liberal voting that created the anarchy, the complete fuck-nuttery that we're seeing in those cities right now.

The Portland city commissioner originally blamed the BLM riots on "white nationalists" who somehow infiltrated the "peaceful protests" of BLM. Now she's blaming the police. That's right, she says the police are now infiltrating the crowds of rioters and starting the fires themselves.

If you want to move here, again, we will welcome you, but leave that shitty voting history at the door. Recognize why you're leaving - democrats ruined Portland, Seattle, and California. Don't you fucking forget it, and ffs, stop voting for those mother fuckers.

Angry little boy cos-plays a Central American revolutionary while quoting Halo

Compare and contrast.

Halo: Reach - The Death of Emile-A239 HD "I'm ready, how about you?"

Rioter hits the wall with a hammer, "We're ready, how about you?"

Halo Reach was released in 2010. This man-child has waited nearly 10 years to say this line. He's probably 20 or 21 years old, and has played reach dozens of times. Now he thinks he's some kind of warrior, shouting video game lines at police officers.

In another video taken in the same few minutes, another cos-player croons through a window "We want your blooooood, piggies."

They've been lighting cop cars on fire, some of them with cops inside. They've cut the brake lines of police vehicles and loosened lug nuts, hoping to kill officers in car accidents. They have waited in front of closed doors in ambush, ready to swing hammers at the heads of officers who emerge.

News flash, folks. These are terrorists. In America we shoot terrorists. You do not have to listen to the mayor.You do not have to treat them like fragile little children. They want your blood. They are ready. Shoot them. If they are holding a hammer, if they are swinging a club, if they are lighting fires or breaking windows, shoot them.

The effect of the pandemic on the national debt

It's not good, as one might expect. According to the Treasury our national debt now stands at over twenty-five trillion dollars ($25,267,564,712,963.60). It's been climbing by about $900B a month during the last two months.

Evidence seems to indicate that the pandemic was caused by an accidental release of the virus by a research facility in Wuhan, caused by lax safety standards, and that the Chinese communists covered it up for at least two months, arresting and threatening anyone who tried to get the data out early. During that time, while the Chinese communists knew the virus had escaped into the city millions of  people traveled in and out of Wuhan.

This criminal behavior should be met with severe retaliation. We should implement monetary and trade sanctions, and have the whole world follow us. A part of the financial sanctions should be collected immediately by wiping out any US Treasuries held by the Chinese communist government. Next we should back up Taiwan and Hong Kong in their independence efforts. Then we should move our factories out of China as much as possible, if not entirely, and further look for alternative suppliers for anything we source in China that we don't currently produce ourselves.

This debt and the underlying fractures in our economy were caused by our over-dependence on China, its lies, and our own state and local governments authoritarian craziness coming out in the form of many months long lock-downs.

Let's hope we get through this without too much pain, but I wouldn't hold my breath.




 

Boy dresses up as school security officer for Dress as your Favorite Person day

This is pretty great. :)

Heh.

Trump Administration Debt - Year Three

I skipped year two, but I picking up at year three shows a decent trend. Still overspending and so far holding pretty consistent with the first year trend and keeping between Bush and Obama levels of spending.

There has been acceleration of the overspending though, and if that bears out over the next five years, then the Trump administration could end up adding more debt than the Obama administration. Sad, bigly sad.

At this point in their respective administrations, Bush, Obama, and Trump averaged $421B, $1,508B, and $1,084B annual deficits.

Here are the charts based on data from the treasury:



And overlaid: